Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitzbühel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Lustenau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kitzbühel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kitzbühel hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Cup, while Kitzbühel holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kitzbühel
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Kitzbühel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80