GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lusitânia Lourosa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Porto B are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto B hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Segunda Liga, while Lusitânia Lourosa holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lusitânia Lourosa

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

13.8%

Lusitânia Lourosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lusitânia LourosaLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Porto BWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Lusitânia LourosaFC Porto B
16.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form43.1
42.7Power48.3
1.33xG1.28
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