GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lusitânia Lourosa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arouca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lusitânia Lourosa hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lusitânia Lourosa holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lusitânia Lourosa

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Lusitânia Lourosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lusitânia LourosaDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AroucaLDDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lusitânia LourosaArouca
50.0Attack55.6
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
53.0Power42.2
2.05xG1.54
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