Lusitânia Lourosavs
Arouca
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lusitânia Lourosa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arouca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lusitânia Lourosa hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lusitânia Lourosa holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lusitânia Lourosa
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Lusitânia Lourosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20