Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lumezzane are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Renate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
13.4%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00