GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celta de Vigo II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lugo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Celta de Vigo II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta de Vigo II hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Celta de Vigo II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celta de Vigo II

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Celta de Vigo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LugoDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Celta de Vigo IIDLWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LugoCelta de Vigo II
33.3Attack40.0
66.7Defence80.0
44.4Form73.3
51.1Power68.4
1.21xG1.31
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