GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Lugansk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Spartak Nalchik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Nalchik hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Second League - Group 1, while Spartak Nalchik holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Nalchik

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuganskDWLWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak NalchikDLWDW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LuganskSpartak Nalchik
33.3Attack49.0
50.0Defence68.6
35.2Form52.9
41.8Power57.2
0.64xG1.40
View match centre →