Luganovs
Sportivo Barracas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 7/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lugano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sportivo Barracas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40