LuganovsSacachispas

Lugano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sacachispas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacachispas hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.