Luganovs
JJ Urquiza
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 7/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lugano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while JJ Urquiza are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80