GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lugano II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lugano II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while YF Juventus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano II hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lugano II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lugano II

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Lugano II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lugano IIDDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
YF JuventusDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lugano IIYF Juventus
41.7Attack44.4
75.0Defence0.0
41.7Form44.4
52.8Power31.8
2.12xG1.19
View match centre →