GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/10/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Ludogorets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Septemvri Sofia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LudogoretsDWDWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Septemvri SofiaWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
66.7Attack58.3
60.0Defence19.4
70.0Form33.3
67.5Power38.0
3.87xG1.20
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