Ludogoretsvs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/18/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ludogorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 49.1-point power-rating edge (85.7 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00