Ludogoretsvs
Botev Vratsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Botev Vratsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (85.2 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20