Ludogoretsvs
Botev Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/15/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (85.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20