Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lucksta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Lucksta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Umea FF are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lucksta hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Lucksta holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lucksta
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Lucksta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20