Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lucksta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Lucksta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fransta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lucksta hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 33.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Lucksta holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lucksta
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
7.0%
Lucksta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20