Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lørenskog are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Grorud are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grorud hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Grorud holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00