Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Loznica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Loznica are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Macva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Loznica holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Loznica
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
11.7%
Loznica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20