Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lovćen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lovćen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Bokelj are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lovćen hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lovćen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lovćen
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Lovćen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40