Louisville Cityvs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Louisville City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and san Antonio hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.0%
Model confidence
13.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60