Louisville Cityvs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Louisville City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rhode Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60