GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Louisville City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rhode Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Louisville CityWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rhode IslandDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Louisville CityRhode Island
57.9Attack52.9
43.9Defence62.7
49.1Form49.0
52.2Power55.0
1.38xG1.64
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