Louisville CityvsMiami FC

Louisville City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Miami FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.