GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Louisville City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Brooklyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 33.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Louisville City

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

68.0%

Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Louisville CityWDLLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BrooklynWDLLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Louisville CityBrooklyn
60.0Attack33.3
43.3Defence37.0
51.7Form24.1
53.6Power33.5
2.58xG0.97
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