Louisville CityvsBirmingham Legion

Louisville City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.