GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Loudoun United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
38.9Attack63.2
44.4Defence66.7
33.3Form71.9
41.4Power68.3
0.77xG2.09
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