GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Loudoun United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Loudoun United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Loudoun United hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the USL Championship, while Loudoun United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Loudoun United

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Loudoun United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting JAXLLLLD

GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Loudoun UnitedSporting JAX
38.9Attack40.4
44.4Defence10.5
33.3Form14.0
41.4Power25.1
2.05xG1.17
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