GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakland Roots · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Loudoun United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakland Roots hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakland Roots

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

14.2%

Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedLDDDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oakland RootsDWDDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Loudoun UnitedOakland Roots
38.9Attack41.7
44.4Defence51.7
33.3Form36.7
41.4Power45.9
1.19xG1.28
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