GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Loudoun United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Loudoun United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Miami FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Miami FC hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the USL Championship, while Loudoun United holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Loudoun United

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Loudoun United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedLLLLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Miami FCLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Loudoun UnitedMiami FC
38.9Attack40.0
44.4Defence46.7
33.3Form36.7
41.4Power43.5
1.32xG1.23
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