Loudoun Unitedvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/10/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Loudoun United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Louisville City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
11.5%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20