GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Loudoun United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartford Athletic hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hartford AthleticDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Loudoun UnitedHartford Athletic
38.9Attack24.1
44.4Defence68.5
33.3Form38.9
41.4Power45.8
0.78xG0.81
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