GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Loudoun United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and charleston Battery hold a 18.1-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.2%

Model confidence

10.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Charleston BatteryWLDDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Loudoun UnitedCharleston Battery
38.9Attack66.7
44.4Defence57.9
33.3Form57.9
41.4Power59.5
1.00xG2.14
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