Los Angeles Galaxyvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Louis City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80