Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40