GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 77.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Portland TimbersLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
54.2Attack60.0
50.0Defence80.0
41.7Form86.7
48.8Power77.7
1.34xG1.77
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