GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Houston DynamoWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
40.0Attack49.1
50.0Defence57.9
36.7Form61.4
44.2Power57.6
1.04xG1.42
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