GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/1/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyDDWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharlotteDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles GalaxyCharlotte
40.0Attack53.7
50.0Defence50.0
36.7Form46.3
44.2Power50.6
1.27xG1.51
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