Los Angeles FCvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Los Angeles FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while St. Louis City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40