Los Angeles FCvs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Los Angeles FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
86.8%
Model confidence
86.8%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60