Los Angeles FCvs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Los Angeles FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Diego are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
10.1%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20