Los Angeles FCvs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Los Angeles FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20