GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/6/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Los Angeles FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and los Angeles FC hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

27.9%

Model confidence

13.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles FCDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalajara ChivasDWLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles FCGuadalajara Chivas
33.3Attack16.7
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power36.5
1.56xG1.04
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