Los Angeles FC IIvs
Tacoma Defiance
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Los Angeles II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles II hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Los Angeles II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC II
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
12.3%
Los Angeles FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60