GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Los Andes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los AndesLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ferro Carril OesteLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Los AndesFerro Carril Oeste
29.0Attack38.9
84.1Defence69.4
47.8Form63.9
55.0Power59.8
0.56xG0.48
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