GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Los Andes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los AndesLLWDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ciudad de BolívarWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Los AndesCiudad de Bolívar
29.0Attack29.2
84.1Defence70.8
47.8Form47.2
55.0Power51.6
0.56xG0.35
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