GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Los Andes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los AndesLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Chaco For EverLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Los AndesChaco For Ever
29.0Attack30.4
84.1Defence59.4
47.8Form31.9
55.0Power42.8
0.80xG0.36
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