GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wexford are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownLDDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
WexfordDDDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Longford TownWexford
43.2Attack39.5
58.0Defence51.9
45.7Form42.0
50.4Power46.4
1.35xG0.90
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