Longford Townvs
UCD
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 7/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while UCD are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60