GGOALVIO

Longford Town logoLongford TownvsUCD logoUCD

COMPLETED

Ireland · First Division · 7/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while UCD are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCD

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
UCDWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Longford TownUCD
43.2Attack56.8
58.0Defence60.5
45.7Form53.1
50.4Power56.2
1.08xG1.33
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