Longford Townvs
Kerry
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 4/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Longford Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kerry are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.4 against 49.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00