Longford Townvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Longford Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
15.3%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40