GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

15.3%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Finn HarpsLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Longford TownFinn Harps
43.2Attack25.9
58.0Defence34.6
45.7Form27.2
50.4Power32.3
1.92xG0.58
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