GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/28/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsLDDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Longford TownFinn Harps
43.2Attack25.9
58.0Defence34.6
45.7Form27.2
50.4Power32.3
1.92xG0.58
View match centre →